Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.179494 0.202281 0.226274 0.253366 0.283048 0.314524 0.350366
2025-05-04 0.149389 0.180194 0.214389 0.254967 0.301607 0.353331 0.414819
2025-05-11 0.129554 0.165771 0.207834 0.259881 0.322107 0.393660 0.481675
2025-05-18 0.115561 0.155898 0.204664 0.267241 0.344623 0.436361 0.552450
2025-05-25 0.100342 0.142446 0.195335 0.265559 0.355150 0.464355 0.606119
2025-06-01 0.088395 0.131630 0.187904 0.264993 0.366146 0.492535 0.660335
2025-06-08 0.078340 0.122100 0.181004 0.264080 0.375945 0.518902 0.712579
2025-06-15 0.072067 0.117035 0.179411 0.269670 0.393981 0.555959 0.779238
2025-06-22 0.064956 0.109963 0.174300 0.269795 0.404256 0.582795 0.833044
2025-06-29 0.058693 0.103462 0.169349 0.269546 0.413603 0.608293 0.885439
2025-07-06 0.053205 0.097567 0.164716 0.269234 0.422503 0.633109 0.937278
2025-07-13 0.049173 0.093556 0.162510 0.272145 0.435830 0.664132 0.998152
2025-07-20 0.046329 0.091364 0.163114 0.279537 0.456341 0.706434 1.076791
2025-07-27 0.042498 0.087109 0.160123 0.281177 0.468325 0.736960 1.139796
2025-08-03 0.039782 0.084514 0.159559 0.286444 0.485794 0.775726 1.215387
2025-08-10 0.037815 0.083056 0.160709 0.294379 0.507487 0.821126 1.301535
2025-08-17 0.034297 0.078352 0.156025 0.292542 0.513895 0.844123 1.355760
2025-08-24 0.031336 0.074384 0.152270 0.291920 0.522003 0.869676 1.414149
2025-08-31 0.028609 0.070572 0.148476 0.290926 0.529326 0.894073 1.471236
2025-09-07 0.027140 0.069154 0.148851 0.296972 0.548077 0.936192 1.555541
2025-09-14 0.024993 0.066079 0.145941 0.297106 0.557078 0.963457 1.618027
2025-09-21 0.022986 0.063079 0.142930 0.296835 0.565283 0.989563 1.679197
2025-09-28 0.021150 0.060240 0.140002 0.296497 0.573251 1.015373 1.740344